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The $1 Trillion Bitcoin Loan Market Is Coming | Mauricio Di Bartolomeo — Key Takeaways

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The $1 Trillion Bitcoin Loan Market Is Coming | Mauricio Di Bartolomeo

What Bitcoin Did1h 17mAug 10, 2026

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Ledn's $200M Bitcoin-backed loan securitization received the first-ever S&P investment-grade rating on a Bitcoin product, unlocking pension fund and insurance capital and pointing toward a projected $1 trillion Bitcoin-backed loan market within 10 years.

Key takeaways

Ledn issued first S&P investment-grade rated Bitcoin-backed ABS: $200M at 6.84% senior / 9.99% junior

Ledn issued first S&P investment-grade rated Bitcoin-backed ABS: $200M at 6.84% senior / 9.99% junior

  • Bond was 2x oversubscribed on senior tranche, 3x on junior — collateral from 5,000+ loans across 30+ countries.
  • Investment-grade rating unlocks 90-95% of ABS market buyers (pension funds, insurers) who are mandated to only buy rated paper.

No-liquidation Bitcoin loans are a hidden risk transfer to lenders, not risk elimination

No-liquidation Bitcoin loans are a hidden risk transfer to lenders, not risk elimination

  • A 12-month put option to hedge a Bitcoin loan costs 8-10% — roughly doubling the loan rate — making advertised 1-2% 'no-liquidation' fees mathematically impossible to sustain.
  • BlockFills blew up in 2025 attempting options-based loan protection; unhedged or mis-hedged positions destroyed the balance sheet.

DeFi loan protocols wrapped in branded fintech UIs obscure counterparty risk from retail borrowers

DeFi loan protocols wrapped in branded fintech UIs obscure counterparty risk from retail borrowers

  • Coinbase/Morpho cited as example: users believe they're borrowing from Coinbase; the branded exchange has zero liability on protocol loans.
  • SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce publicly flagged this structure — regulatory crackdown on DeFi-via-fintech-frontend appears imminent.

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In this video

  1. 1mIntroduction
  2. 1mBorrowing in a Bitcoin Bear Market
  3. 3mAuto Top-Up and Partial Liquidations
  4. 7mStress-Testing a Loan Against a 50% Crash
  5. 15mThe Risk Behind “No-Liquidation” Loans
  6. 23mDeFi Lending and Regulatory Risk
  7. 32mCounterparty Risk and Cheap Loans
  8. 38mTether Gold and Tokenised Hard Money
  9. 44mGold-Backed and Hybrid-Collateral Loans
  10. 47mLedn’s $188M Bitcoin-Backed Bond
  11. 53mFinancing a $1 Trillion Loan Market
  12. 1h 0mVenezuela After Maduro
  13. 1h 7mEarthquakes, Elections and Rebuilding Venezuela

Go price that put option. You price the hedge. Don't take it from me. Price the hedge.

Mauricio (Ledn CEO)

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